We are back in another run of about-as-bad-as-it gets weather charts. The upper trough is back, exactly the same one as before, parked up just to the west of Ireland with a surface low feeding in westerly winds and cool damp weather.
The low is cradled in there like an egg superglued into an eggcup, right slap bang in the worst place it could be.
the slugs in the garden pissed off for a while but they are now back greasing up and down the veg patch.
My advice would be to head for the west coast of Portugal and hope the nortada or what ever it is called isn't too strong, because there ain't going to be waves here for at least a week.
I spend too much time checking weather charts - if I know the surf's going to get good, I'm clicking the refresh button on the web a couple of minutes before the next forecast model gets posted onto the Web. If its looking good then I'll check back again just to make sure. I'm going to blog weather on here and try to explain what's going on. These ramblings will focus on an area from Roche westwards although I reserve the right to go off piste occasionally. All graphics from Metdesk.com
Tuesday, 31 July 2012
Thursday, 26 July 2012
Sunshine clings on
Mmm, isn't this sunshine lovely, oooh and haven't the waves been nice. Bit annoying with the sea fog nestled into the north cornish coast this morning. The sat pic below shows just how localised it is.
It won't last all day I shouldn't have thought.
Eyes down on the Olympics then, tiz buzzing in London with lots of folk milling around wearing Locog outfits and more than one report of people spotting famous sportspeeps.
What'll the weather be doing? its a really tricky one to call at this stage - most of the model providers want to develop beefy showers across the far south-eastern corner of Kent, Essex and the lower Thames basin tomorrow afternoon. The Met Office's model swishes these showers off out into the Channel/North Sea in the evening but the European's keep them clinging on all evening. Its on the cusp though and I reckon it'll stay dry - there I've said it. DRY.
It won't last all day I shouldn't have thought.
Eyes down on the Olympics then, tiz buzzing in London with lots of folk milling around wearing Locog outfits and more than one report of people spotting famous sportspeeps.
What'll the weather be doing? its a really tricky one to call at this stage - most of the model providers want to develop beefy showers across the far south-eastern corner of Kent, Essex and the lower Thames basin tomorrow afternoon. The Met Office's model swishes these showers off out into the Channel/North Sea in the evening but the European's keep them clinging on all evening. Its on the cusp though and I reckon it'll stay dry - there I've said it. DRY.
Monday, 16 July 2012
Wahooooooo
Some of the forecast charts have been hinting for the last few days that summer will is around the corner.
This seemingly endless run of depressing depressions, which have only been keeping the slugs happy, looks like shifting north by a few hundred miles towards the weekend. This is going to let high pressure in from the south-west which should mean there is some sunshine (wah-wooo) and even some south-esterly winds, something we haven't seen for a while. There's no real swell generators out there this week but at least it won't be raining.
Next week i see charts which could produce a solid 2 day swell,
as this low below...
.... might combine with this high early next week.
This seemingly endless run of depressing depressions, which have only been keeping the slugs happy, looks like shifting north by a few hundred miles towards the weekend. This is going to let high pressure in from the south-west which should mean there is some sunshine (wah-wooo) and even some south-esterly winds, something we haven't seen for a while. There's no real swell generators out there this week but at least it won't be raining.
Next week i see charts which could produce a solid 2 day swell,
as this low below...
.... might combine with this high early next week.
Monday, 9 July 2012
Rain
Yet more deluges over the weekend - all very boring now. Where I was it was grey drizzly and cold all weekend.
There is a lot more shite waeather on the way up until the weekend, but there is some hope beyond that from the forecast charts that it'll become more settled. Still not much hope on the surfing front, bar the odd day here and there, but while there is high pressure nearby, at least it won't be raining.
Here'e the latest idea from the EC on what next week will be like.
Nice to see a journalist with some sense! http://www.guardian.co.uk/theguardian/shortcuts/2012/jul/08/which-weather-forecast-to-believe?newsfeed=true
There is a lot more shite waeather on the way up until the weekend, but there is some hope beyond that from the forecast charts that it'll become more settled. Still not much hope on the surfing front, bar the odd day here and there, but while there is high pressure nearby, at least it won't be raining.
Here'e the latest idea from the EC on what next week will be like.
Nice to see a journalist with some sense! http://www.guardian.co.uk/theguardian/shortcuts/2012/jul/08/which-weather-forecast-to-believe?newsfeed=true
Thursday, 5 July 2012
there's waves
The surf is looking nice right now. Not perfect but something to be getting along with.
The end of the forecast period offers feint hope of this crap weather ending with an all together different picture developing.
PLEASE LET IT BE
The end of the forecast period offers feint hope of this crap weather ending with an all together different picture developing.
PLEASE LET IT BE
Monday, 2 July 2012
Oh dear, what can the matter be...
The wait goes on - this week we have whats known in the trade as a "cut off" low. A low that gets cut off from the typical west/east flow of the upper atmosphere and gets stuck. Depending on where they get stuck, they can be a blessing or a nightmare. This one gets stuck a tadge to the south-west of the UK and won't be moving til after the weekend - expect gash weather, gash waves and not a lot else.
Siiiiiiiiiiiiiigh - here's the 10 dayer.
Siiiiiiiiiiiiiigh - here's the 10 dayer.
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