Sunday, 15 September 2013

September aint been a classic but ...

... the eagle eyed chart monster's among us will have started heavy breathing, stripping off, slathering ourselves in honey then getting the dog to lick up the mess today.

A seriously classic set up is looming so you had better clear the decks for the the end of the next weekend.

Hurricanes in the middle of the Atlantic are a pain in the arse to forecast, but the detail right now is about 50-65% in favour of SE winds and a pretty decent long period burst of swell coming in from a WSW direction sometime between Sunday afternoon and Monday morning, depending on what model you look at.

So here is the latest version from the 2 big model providers

EC is a little slower, to develop the low - see below and doesn't ramp up the low until Sunday.
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GFS hurtles the low past the UK by the end of the weekend.




Both sets of models have the same scenario but, the timings are different, don't get too busy at the end of the weekend or early next week...


BEYOND that looks good too.



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