Tuesday, 26 August 2014

A plop in the ocean

Over the last week or so there has been some changes to the upper air patterns in the Northern Atlantic - a number of bigger depressions have hooked into the jet stream and it looks like at long last that a decent run of waves could be on the cards. It's been several months since there's been a genuinely decent prognosis but I reckon there'll be at least one and maybe two really nice September swells over the coming fortnight. 

Both have their origins in old tropical storms... 

Number one swell - locked in nicely and very likely to happen....

Number 2 swell - a lot less certain on the detail... 

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Tuesday, 12 August 2014

Not much on the horizon

If you've got time on your hand and don't mind the schlep, the east coast might be worth a sniff early next week.

Beyond that and we have to venture into the long range forecast where things aren't reliable to get excited - 

This is about the best I can muster. 

Wednesday, 6 August 2014

Eyes down ladies

It's been a while since a chart like this has appeared in the forecast horizon and with 15 days to go before its supposed to happen, its unlikely to actually happen. It's not quite the PERFECT forecast chart, but near enough and if it comes to fruition then a few days off will almost certainly be on the cards. 

Tuesday, 5 August 2014

Big Bertha

Bertha's out there and looks like fattening herself up nicely over the next couple of days. At this stage in the game, its impossible to know exactly what'll, happen but I like this solution from ECMWF. 

50-60mph winds and waves on the south coast in August. That'll be a fine thing.